click here for entire CV
Education
Harvard University. B.A. magna cum laude 1976, M.A. 1979, Ph.D. 1981.
Areas of Specialization
Global and Comparative History, Political Conflict, Revolutions and Social Movements, Democratization, State-building, Demographic Security, Comparative Economic Development
Academic Positions
George Mason University. Hazel Professor of Public Policy, Mercatus Scholar, and Director, Center for Global Policy (http://globalpolicy.gmu.edu/), 2004-
U. of California, San Diego. Visiting Scholar, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, 2002-2003.
U. of California, Davis. Director, Center for Comparative Research in History, Society and Culture, 1989-91; Professor of Sociology and International Relations, 1989-2004.
California Institute of Technology. Visiting Professor of Political Science, 1989.
Northwestern University. Associate Professor of Sociology and Political Science, 1985-1988; Assistant Professor of Sociology, 1981 84.
Fellowships and Awards for Research
Fellowship, American Council of Learned Societies, 1984
Fellowship, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, 1988
Fellowship, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford, 1992-93
Sociological Research Association, 1991 (elected)
Society for Comparative Research, 2004 (elected)
American Sociological Association Distinguished Scholarly Publication Award, for Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World, 1993
CHOICE Outstanding Academic Title Award, for States, Parties, and Social Movements, 2004
ASA Barrington Moore Award for Best Article in Comparative/Historical Sociology, 2003 for “Efflorescences and Economic Growth in World History: Rethinking the ‘Rise of the West’ and the British Industrial Revolution.” Journal of World History (2002)13: 323-389.
ASA Best Article in Comparative/Historical Sociology, Honorable Mention (3 times)
1987 for “Urbanization and Inflation: Lessons from the English Price Revolution of the 16th and 17th Centuries,” American Journal of Sociology (1986) 89:1122 1160.
1990 for “East and West in the Seventeenth Century: Political Crises in Stuart England, Ottoman Turkey, and Ming China,” Comparative Studies in Society and History (1988) 30: 103 142.
1997 for “Gender, Work, and Culture: Why the Industrial Revolution came Early to England and Late to China,” Sociological Perspectives (1996) 20:1-22.
ASA Best Article in Political Sociology Award, 2003
for “Forging Social Order and Its Breakdown: Riot and Reform in U.S. Prisons.” (with Bert Useem).American Sociological Review (2002) 67:499-525.
ASA Best Article on Collective Behavior and Social Movements Award, 2003 for “Forging Social Order and Its Breakdown”
ASA Best Article in Social Theory, Honorable Mention 2003
for “Efflorescences and Economic Growth in World History.”
The Historical Society Arnaldo Momigliano Award for Best Article in History, 2004 for “Efflorescences and Economic Growth in World History.”
Mellon Fellowship for the Study of Contentious Politics, 1995-97
Research Associate, Canadian Institute for Advanced Research 1997
Crayborough Lecture in Comparative History, University of Leiden 1999
Faculty Research Lecturer Award, University of California-Davis, 2003
Research Grants
U.S. Institute for Peace. Grant for conference and book on "Revolutions of the Late Twentieth Century." ($37,900) 1988-89.
Center for European and German Studies, U. of California. Grant for Joint-taught Graduate Course on Global Economic History. ($10,000) 1991-92.
Liberty Fund, Grant for Conference on Revolution and The Prospects for Liberty in Eastern Europe ($36,000). 1993.
Canadian Institute for Advanced Research. Grant for work on studies of social systems and social conflict. ($15,000). 1996-1997.
Institute for Humane Studies. Grant for study of the collapse of the U.S.S.R. as a revolution. ($8,000). 1997-1998.
American Sociological Association. Grant for Advancement of the Discipline, to fund a conference on the “Origins of Modernity” at UC-Davis, Oct. 1999. ($3,000)
Gifford Center on Nutrition. Grant for a study on population and environmental security issues ($6,000). 1999-2000.
Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, U. of California. Grant for quantitative studies of state breakdown ($15,000). 2001-2002.
National Science Foundation. Dissertation Grant in conjunction with Ph.D. candidate Thomas Burr ($7,500). 2001-2002.
MacArthur Foundation Program on Global Peace and Sustainability. Research and Writing Grant on Sources of Political Conflict ($74,000). 2003-2004.
SAIC, Inc. Political Instability Task Force, Research on Modeling and Forecasting Political Instability, co-PI with Monty G. Marshall ($663,000), 2005-2009
Publications
Books
1986
Revolutions: Theoretical, Comparative, and Historical Studies (ed.) Belmont, CA: Wadsworth/Thomson.
[1994] 2nd edition
[2003] 3rd edition
[2008] Persian Translation
1991
Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World. Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press.
1991
Revolutions of the Late Twentieth Century (edited with T.R. Gurr and F. Moshiri). Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
1993
Theories of Revolution and the East European Revolutions of 1989, a special issue of Rationality and Society (edited with Karl-Dieter Opp). Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
1998
The Encyclopedia of Political Revolutions (Editor-in-chief) Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Books.
1999
Who’s Who in Political Revolutions (ed.) Washington, D.C.:
Congressional Quarterly Books.
2001
Silence and Voice in Contentious Politics (with Ron Aminzade, Doug McAdam, Elizabeth Perry, William Sewell, Jr., Sidney Tarrow, and Charles Tilly). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
2003
States, Parties, and Social Movements: Protest and the Dynamics of Institutional Change (ed.) Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. [Chinese Translation 2009]
2008
Improving Democracy Assistance: Building Knowledge Through Evaluations and Research: A National Research Council Report (with Larry Garber, John Gerring, Clark Gibson, Mitchell Seligson, and Jeremy Weinstein). Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences.
2008
Why Europe? The Rise of the West in World History 1500-1850. New York: McGraw-Hill. [Translations into Chinese and Italian, pending]
forth-coming
The Rise of the West 1500-1850: Entrepreneurship, Culture, and the Birth of Modern Economic Growth. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
forth-coming
Understanding Revolutions: Their Origins, Processes, and Outcomes, with John Foran and Eric Selbin. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications.
forth-coming
Political Demography, edited with Eric Kaufmann and Monica Duffy Toft. New York: Palgrave.
Articles
1975
"Subcommittee Chairmanships in the House of Representatives,"
American Political Science Review 19: 970 971.
1979
"A Deductive Explanation of the Matthew Effect in Science,"Social Studies of Science 9: 385 391.
1980
“Theories of Revolution: The Third Generation,” World Politics
32: 425 453.
1980
‘The Weakness of Organization,’ American Journal of Sociology
85: 1917-1942.
1980
"Mobilization and Organization: Reply to Foley and Steedly and to Gamson," American Journal of Sociology 85: 1428 32.
1982
"Response Options for Evaluating the Consequences of Pollution Charges," in Environmental Policy Implementation: Planning and
Management Options and their Consequences, Dean Mann, ed.
Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, pp. 185 192.
1982
“The Comparative and Historical Study of Revolutions,” Annual Review of Sociology 8: 187 207.
1983
"A New Historical Materialism," Contemporary Sociology 12: 487 490.
1983
“Capitalist Origins of the English Revolution: Chasing a Chimera,” Theory and Society 12: 143 180.
1984
“Urbanization and Inflation: Lessons from the English Price Revolution of the 16th and 17th Centuries,” American Journal of Sociology 89: 1122 1160.
1984
“Reinterpreting the French Revolution,” Theory and Society 13: 697 713.
1985
"Revolutions," in The International Social Science Encyclopedia, Adam and Jessica Kuper, eds. London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, pp. 705 707.
1985
"The Origins of the English Revolution: A Demographic Approach," Journal of Economic History 45: 454 458.
1985
“The Ecological Dynamics of Empires: 17th Century Crises in Ottoman Turkey and Ming China,” in Comparative Social Dynamics, E. Cohen, M. Lissak, and U. Almagor, eds. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, pp. 31 47.
1986
"How to Study History: The View from Sociology," Historical Methods 19: 82 84.
1986
“Revolutions and Superpowers,” in Superpowers and Revolution, J. Adelman, ed. New York: Praeger, pp. 38 48.
1986
“State Breakdown in the English Revolution: A New Synthesis,” American Journal of Sociology 92: 257 322.
1986
“The Demographic Revolution in England: A Reexamination,” Population Studies 49: 5 33.
1987
“Cultural Orthodoxy, Risk, and Innovation: The Divergence of East and West in the Early Modern World,” Sociological Theory 5: 119 135.
1987
“Cities and Social Change,” Sociological Forum 2: 176 185.
1987
"Theories of Revolution," in The Blackwell Encyclopedia of Political Thought, D. Miller, J. Coleman, W. Connoly, and A. Ryan eds. Oxford: Basil Blackwell, pp. 436 441.
1988
"Powers and Fallacies," Contemporary Sociology 17: 20 22.
1988
“East and West in the Seventeenth Century: Political Crises in Stuart England, Ottoman Turkey, and Ming China,” Comparative Studies in Society and History 30: 103 142.
1988
“Regional Ecology and Agrarian Development in Early Modern England and France,” Politics and Society 16: 287 334.
1989
“Deterrence in Rebellions and Revolutions,” in Perspectives on Deterrence, P. Stern, R. Axelrod, R. Jervis, and R. Radner, eds. New York: Oxford University Press, pp. 222 250.
1989
"Rationality and Revolution: A Comment on Lindenberg," Rationality and Society 1: 285 287.
1989
“Révolutions dans l'histoire et histoire de la révolution,” Revue Française de Sociologie, special issue on revolutions 30: 405 430.
1990
“Sociology and History: Producing Comparative History,” in Sociology in America, ed. Herbert Gans. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications, pp. 275 292.
1990
“The Causes of Long Waves in Early Modern Economic History,” in Research in Economic History, Supplement 6, The Vital One: Essays in Honor of J.R.T. Hughes, Joel Mokyr, ed. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, pp. 51-92.
1991
“Culture, Ideology, and the Process of Revolutions,” Theory and Society 20: 405-453.
1991
"Monetary versus Velocity Explanations of the `Price Revolution': A Comment." Journal of Economic History 51: 176-181.
1991
"States Making States Making Wars Making States," Contemporary Sociology 20: 176-179.
1991
"Revolution," The Blackwell Dictionary of 20th Century Social Thought. Oxford: Basil Blackwell, pp. 549-550.
1992
Imminent Political Conflicts Arising from China's Environmental Crisis. Occasional Paper of the Project on Environmental Change and Acute Conflict, American Academy of Arts and Sciences. AAAS: Cambridge, Massachusetts.
1992
“Family Organization and Economic Innovation in Northwest Europe and Imperial China, c. 1780-1900,” with Lisa Hoffman, in Family Process and Political Process in Early Modern Chinese History, edited by the Institute of Modern History, Academia Sinica. Taiwan: Academia Sinica, pp. 995-1014.
1992
"Revolution," The Routledge Encyclopaedia of Government and Politics. London: Routledge 2: 1049-1060.
1993
“Predicting Revolutions: Why We Could (and Should) Have Foreseen the Revolutions of 1989-1991 in the U.S.S.R. and Eastern Europe,” Contention 2: 127-152.
1993 "Reply to Keddie," Contention 2: 185-189.
1993
“Analyzing Revolutions and Rebellions: A Reply to the Critics,”
Contention 3: 177-198.
1993
"Revolution," in The Oxford Companion to Politics of the World, Joel Krieger, ed. New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 786-790.
1993
"Revolution," in Sociology, Craig Calhoun and George Ritzer, eds. New York: McGraw-Hill, pp. 786-801.
1993
“Trends or Cycles? The Economic History of East-West Contact in the Early Modern World,” Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 36: 104-119.
1994
“Revolutions in Modern Dictatorships,” in Revolutions: Theoretical,
Comparative, and Historical Studies, Jack A. Goldstone, ed., second edition, pp. 70-77. Forth Worth, TX: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.
1994
“Is Revolution Individually Rational?,” in Rationality and Society,
6:139-166.
1995
"Response: Rationality and Revolution," Rationality and Society
7:120-123.
1995
“The Coming Chinese Collapse,” Foreign Policy, No. 99 (Summer): 35-52
1996
“Gender, Work, and Culture: Why the Industrial Revolution came Early to England and Late to China,” Sociological Perspectives 20: 1-22.
1996
"Advancing the Environmental Security Debate," Environmental
Change and Security Project Report No. 2 (Spring): 66-71
1996
“Saving the Environment and Political Stability,” Environmental
Change and Security Project Report No. 3 (Winter): 33-34.
1997
“Population Growth and Revolutionary Crises,” in Theorizing Revolutions, John Foran, ed. London: Routledge, pp. 102-120.
1997
“Revolution, War, and Security,” Security Studies, 6(2): 127-151.
1997
“Methodological Issues in Comparative Macrosociology,” Comparative Social Research 16: 107-120.
1997
“A Tsunami on the Horizon? The Potential for International Migration from the People’s Republic of China,” in Human Smuggling: Chinese Migrant Trafficking and the Challenge to America’s Immigration, Paul Smith, ed. Washington, D.C.: Center for Strategic and International Studies, pp. 48-75.
1998
“The Soviet Union: Revolution and Transformation,” in Elites, Crises, and the Origins of Regimes, John Higley and Mattei Dogan, eds. Boulder, CO: Rowman and Littlefield, pp. 95-123.
1998
“Social Movements or Revolutions?: On the Evolution and Outcomes of Collective Action,” in From Contention to Democracy, Marco Guigni, Doug McAdam, and Charles Tilly, eds. Boulder, CO: Rowman and Littlefield, pp. 125-145.
1998
“Rivoluzione (Revolution),” in Enciclopedia delle Scienze Sociali.
Rome: Instituto della Enciclopedia Italiana, Vol. VII, pp. 473-480.
1998 “The Problem of the ‘Early Modern’ World.”Journal of the Economic and Social History of the Orient 41: 249-284.
1998
“Initial Conditions, General Laws, Path-dependence, and Explanation in Historical Sociology.”American Journal of Sociology 104: 829-845.
1998
“The State Failure Project: Early Warning Research for US Foreign Policy Planning,” with Dan Esty, T.R. Gurr, Barbara Harff, Pamela T. Surko, Alan N. Unger, and Robert Chen, in Preventive Measures: Building Risk Assessments and Crisis Early Warning Systems, John L. Davies, and T.R. Gurr, eds. Boulder, CO: Rowman and Littlefield, pp. 27-38.
1999
“Demography, Development, and Domestic Conflicts,” in The International Order in the Twenty-First Century, T.V. Paul and John A. Hall, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 352-372
1999
“Population and Pivotal States,” in U.S. Strategy and Pivotal States, Robert Chase, Emily Hill, and Paul Kennedy, eds., New York: W.W. Norton, pp. 247-269.
1999
“Political Conflicts and China's Environmental Crises,” in Contested Ground: Security and Conflict in the New Environmental Politics, Daniel Deudney and Richard Matthew, eds., Albany: SUNY Press, pp. 247-266.
1999
“Prison Riots as Micro-Revolutions: An Extension of State-Centered Theories of Revolution,” with Bert Useem.American Journal of Sociology 104: 985-1029.
2000
“The Rise of the West -- or Not? A Revision to Socio-economic History.” Sociological Theory 18: 157-194.
2000
“The State,” in The Encyclopedia of Sociology, 2nd ed. Edgar Borgatta and Rhonda J.V. Montgomery, eds. New York: Macmillan, pp. 2996-3003.
2000
“Whose Measure of Reality?”American Historical Review 105: 501-508.
2001
“Toward a Fourth Generation of Revolutionary Theory,” Annual Review of Political Science 4:139-187.
2001
“Theories of Revolution, The Revolutions of 1989-1991, and the Trajectory of the ‘New’ Russia” [in Russian].Voprosy Ekonomiki 1:117-123.
2001
“Demography, Environment, and Security,” in Environmental Security, Paul Diehl and Nils Petter Gleditsch, eds. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, pp. 84-108.
2001
“Population, Environment, and Security: An Overview,” in Demography and Security, Myron Weiner and Sharon Stanton Russell, eds. Oxford: Berghahn,
pp. 38-61.
2001
“Population and Progress in the Middle Ages,” Population and Development Review 27: 585-596.
2002
“The Longue Dureé and Cycles of Revolt in European History,” in Early Modern History and the Social Sciences: Testing the Limits of Braudel’s Mediterranean, John Marino, ed. Kirksville, MO: Truman State University Press, pp. 169-187.
2002
“Forging Social Order and Its Breakdown: Riot and Reform in U.S. Prisons.” (with Bert Useem).American Sociological Review 67: 499-525.
2002
“Efflorescences and Economic Growth in World History: Rethinking the ‘Rise of the West’ and the British Industrial Revolution.” Journal of World History 13: 323-389.
2002
“Population and Security: How Demographic Change can Lead to Violent Conflict.”Columbia Journal of International Affairs 56: 245-263.
2002
“States, Terrorists, and the Clash of Civilizations,” in September 11: Context and Consequences. Craig Calhoun, Paul Price, and Ashley Timmer, eds. New York: New Press, pp. 139-158.
2002
“Theory Development in the Study of Revolutions,” in Theory Development in Sociology, Joseph Berger and Morris Zelditch, Jr., eds. Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, pp. 194-226.
2003
“National Security and Population,” in Encyclopedia of Population, Paul Demeny and Geoffrey McNicoll, eds. New York: Macmillan, vol. 2, pp. 685-688.
2003
“Comparative Historical Analysis and Knowledge Accumulation in the Study of Revolutions,” in Comparative Historical Analysis, Dietrich Reuschemeyer and James Mahoney, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 41-90.
2003
“Europe vs. Asia: Missing Data and Misconceptions.”Science & Society 67: 184-194.
2004
“Neither Late Imperial nor Early Modern: Efflorescences and the Qing in World History,” in The Qing Formation in World-Historical Time, Lynn Struve, ed., Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, vol. 1, pp. 242-302.
2004
“Case Control Methods.” In Encyclopedia of Social Science Research Methods Beverly Hills, Sage.
2004
“More Social Movements or Fewer? Beyond Political Opportunity Structures to Relational Fields.”Theory and Society 33:3-4, pp. 333-365.
2004
“Response: Reasoning about History, Sociologically.”Sociological Methodology 34:1, pp. 35-61.
2004
“It's all about State Structure -- New Findings on Revolutionary Origins from Global Data” (with Ted Robert Gurr, Monty Marshall, and Jay Ulfelder). Homo Oeconomicus 21:3, pp. 429-455.
2004
“How to Construct Stable Democracies” (with Jay Ulfelder).The Washington Quarterly 28:1, pp. 9-20.
2005
How Fast Can you Build a State? – State Building in Revolutions” (with Jaime Becker), in States and Development, Matthew Lange and Dietrich Rueschemeyer, eds. New York: Palgrave/Macmillan, pp. 183-210.
2006
“Europe’s Peculiar Path: Would the World be ‘Modern’ if William III’s
Invasion of England in 1688 had Failed?” in Unmaking the West: What-if? Scenarios that Rewrite World History. Philip E. Tetlock, Ned Lebow, and Geoffrey Parker, eds. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, pp. 168-196.
2006
“A Historical, Not Comparative, Method: Breakthroughs and Limitations in the Theory and Methodology of Michael Mann’s Analysis of Power,” in An Anatomy of Power: The Social Theory of Michael Mann, John A. Hall and Ralph Schroeder, eds. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 263-282.
2006
“Engineering, Culture, Innovation, and Modern Wealth Creation,” in Innovations and Entrepreneurship in Functional Regions, Uddevalla Symposium 2005, Irene Johansson, ed. Trollhattan, Sweden: University West, pp. 455-474.
2006
“Democratic Transitions” (with David Epstein, Robert Bates, Ida Kristenson and Sharyn O’ Halloran). American Journal of Political Science 50: 551-569.
2006
“A History and Sociology of Historical Sociology.”International Journal of Comparative Sociology 47: 359-369.
2006
“Knowledge – Not Capitalism, Faith, or Reason – was the Key to the Rise of the West.” Historically Speaking 7: 6-10.
2006
“Scarcity, Crises, and Choice,” an essay on Jared Diamond’s Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed. Journal of International Affairs 59: 335-346.
2007
“Global Report on Conflict, Governance and State Fragility 2007” (with Monty G. Marshall). Foreign Policy Bulletin 17 (Winter): 3-21.
2007
“Tra vecchio e nuovo: le rivoluzioni atlantiche in una prospettiva globale.”
[Something Old, Something New: The Atlantic Revolutions in Global Perspective] Contemporanea, Rivista di storia dell ‘800 e del ‘900 10: 135-139.
2007
“Unravelling the Mystery of Economic Growth.”World Economics 8: 207-225.
2008
“Revolution,” in The International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences (2nd edition). ed. William A. Darity, Jr., vol. 7. Detroit: Macmillan Reference USA, pp. 228-231.
2008
“Capitalist Origins, the Advent of Modernity, and Coherent Explanation.” Canadian Journal of Sociology/Cahiers canadiens de sociologie 33: 119-133.
2008
“Pathways to State Failure.” Conflict Management and Peace Science25: 285-296.
2008
“Using Quantitative and Qualitative Models to Forecast Instability.” US Institute of Peace Special Report 204 (March), 16 pp. [Turkish Translation in Istanbul Commerce University Social Sciences Journal, 2008]
2008
“Modern Revolutions? Yes they are.”Harvard International Review
Web-exclusive: http://www.harvardir.org/articles/1685/
2008
“Bully for Prediction” Sociological Methodology 38: 59-65.
2008
“Engineering Culture, Innovation and Modern Wealth Creation” in Entrepreneurship and Innovations in Functional Regions, eds. Charlie Karlsson, Brje Johansson, and Roger R. Stough. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, pp. 23-49.
2008
“Ancient states, empires and exploitation: problems and perspectives,” with John F. Haldon. In Dynamics of Ancient Empires: State Power from Assyria to Byzantium, Ian Morris and Walter Scheidel. eds. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 1-29.
2008
“Sociology and Political Science: Learning and Challenges.” In The Frontiers of Sociology, Peter Hedstrom and Bjorn Wittrock, eds. Amsterdam: Brill, pp. 59-66.
2008
“Europe’s Brave New World: Security Implications of Global Population Changes 2007-2050.” European View 7:319-332.
2009 “Rethinking Revolutions: Integrating Origins, Processes, and Outcomes,” CSSAAME (Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa, and the Middle East) vol. 29: 8-32.
2009
“Flash Points and Tipping Points: Security Implications of Global Population Changes.” Environmental Change and Security Project Report¸ no. 13: 2-9.
2009
“Revolutions.” In The Sage Handbook of Comparative Politics, eds. Todd Landman and Neil Robinson. Los Angeles: Sage, pp. 319-347.
2009“Efflorescences et croissance économique dans l’histoire globale: une réinterprétation de l’essor de l’Occident et de la révolution industrielle.” In Histoire globale, mondialisations, et capitalisme, Philippe Beaujard, Laurent Berger, and Philippe Norel, eds. Paris: Editions La Decouverte, pp. 299-334.
2009
“From Sociology and Economics to World History.” Österreichische Zeitschrift für Geschichtswissenschaften [Austrian Journal of Historical Sciences] 20 (2): 75-90.
forth-coming
“The Seventeenth Century Revolutions and Iberian Decline: Nationalism, Trade, Innovation, and the Varieties of Faith.” In The Portuguese Restauração and Seventeenth-Century Revolution, Diogo Curto, ed. Florence: Leo S. Olshki.
forth-coming
“Neo-Malthusian Origins of the French Revolution Revisited: Recent Evidence and the Social Foundations of State Breakdown, 1750-1788,” in Approaches to Understanding the French Revolution, Dale van Kley and Thomas Kaiser, eds. Palo Alto: Stanford University Press.
forth-coming
“Demography,” in Encyclopedia of the Ancien Regime, ed. William Doyle. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
forth-coming
“Revolutions.” In International Encyclopedia of Political Science, ed. George T. Kurian. Washington, DC: CQ Press.
forth-coming
“Population Movements and Conflict.” In International Studies Association Compendium Project, ed. Bob Denemark.
forth-coiming
“A Global Forecasting Model for Forecasting Political Instability.”American Journal of Political Science. January 2010
forth-coming
“The New Population Bomb: Five Population Megatrends that will Shape the Global Future.” Foreign Affairs¸ 2010
Under Review
“Trajectories of Democracy and Development: New Insights from
Graphic Analysis.” In revise & resubmit, American Sociological Review
Presentations and Proceedings
Goldstone, J. A. "The Future of Cuba after Fidel." Moderator and presenter at State Department conference on Cuba, Arlington, VA, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Causes of State Fragility." Presented to OECD Development Assistance Committee, London, UK, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "US Security and the Middle East, 2008-2025." Presented at Meridien Center conference for the NIC, Washington, D.C., 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "The Origins of State Fragility and Challenges of State Reconstruction." Presented at US Marshall Center for Security Studies, Garmisch, Germany, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Improving Evaluations of Democracy Assistance." Presented at National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., 2008.
Honors and Awards for Teaching
Highest Teacher Rating, School of Public Policy, George Mason University, 2008
Certificate for Outstanding Commitment to Undergraduate Researchers, UC Davis, 1991
Honor Role for Undergraduate Teaching, Northwestern University, 1985
Certificate of Distinction in Teaching, Harvard University, 1982
Professional Activities
Consulting Editor, American Journal of Sociology, 1984 87; 1999-2002
Corresponding Editor, Theory and Society, 1984
Editorial Board, Sociological Theory, 1988 90; Rationality and Society, 1995-2000
Editorial Board, Cambridge University Press series on Contentious Politics 2001-
Editorial Board, ASA Rose Monograph Series, 2008-
Editor, Foreign Policy Bulletin, 2006-
Review Panel, Dissertation Fellowships in Sociology, National Science Foundation 2001
Review Panel, Grants in Sociology, National Science Foundation, 2002
Selection Committee for Woodrow Wilson Center Fellowships, 2000, 2004
Foreign Policy Studies Review Panel, Social Science Research Council 1989-93
Committee on International Security, American Association for the
Advancement of Science, 1994-95
Advisory Committee, American Academy of Arts and Sciences project on Scarcity, State Capacity, and Violent Conflict. 1994-96
Chair, National Academy of Sciences Committee on the Evaluation of USAID Democracy Assistance Programs, 2006-2007
Advisory Committee, Woodrow Wilson Center Project on Environment and Security 1998-
Claude Lambe Fellowship Selection Committee, Institute of Humane Studies, 1997-99, 2003-
U.S. Institute of Peace, Senior Fellowship Screening Committee 1997
MacArthur Foundation Social Science Research Council Grants in International Security, Screening Committee 1988-91
National Program Committee, Social Science History Association, 1990
Head, Network on Politics, State, and Society, Social Science History Association, 1993
Nominations Committee, Social Science History Association, 1995
Elected Chair, Section on Comparative and Historical Sociology, American Sociological Association, 1997
Council, Section on Collective Behavior and Social Movements, American Sociological Association, 2002-2005
Council, Section on Social Theory, American Sociological Association, 2004-2006
Board, Society for Comparative Research, 2005-
References
Professor Randall Collins
Department of Sociology
University of Pennsylvania
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6299
phone: 215-573-6176, fax: 215-573-2081
email: collinsr@sas.upenn.edu
Professor Doug McAdam
Department of Sociology
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305
phone 650-723-9401
Email: mcadam@leland.stanford.edu
Dr. Craig Calhoun, President
Social Science Research Council
810 Seventh Ave., New York, NY 10019
phone: 212-377-2700, fax: 212-377-2727
email: Calhoun@ssrc.org
Books
Goldstone, J. A. Why Europe? The Rise of the West in World History 1500-1850. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2008. [Translations into Chinese and Italian, pending]
Garber, L., Gerring, Gibson, C. A., Goldstone, J. A., J. Seligson, M. and Weinstein, J. et. al. Improving Democracy Assistance: Building Knowledge Through Evaluations and Research. Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences, 2008.
Book Sections
“Neo-Malthusian Origins of the French Revolution Revisited: Recent Evidence and the Social Foundations of State Breakdown, 1750-1788,” in Approaches to Understanding the French Revolution, Dale van Kley and Thomas Kaiser, eds. Palo Alto: Stanford University Press. (forth-coming)
“Demography,” in Encyclopedia of the Ancien Regime, ed. William Doyle. Oxford: Oxford University Press. (forth-coming)
“Revolutions.” In International Encyclopedia of Political Science, ed. George T. Kurian. Washington, DC: CQ Press. (forth-coming)
“Population Movements and Conflict.” In International Studies Association Compendium Project, ed. Bob Denemark. (forth-coming)
“The New Population Bomb: Five Population Megatrends that will Shape the Global Future.” Foreign Affairs¸ 2010 (forth-coming)
“The Seventeenth Century Revolutions and Iberian Decline: Nationalism, Trade, Innovation, and the Varieties of Faith.” In The Portuguese Restauração and Seventeenth-Century Revolution, Diogo Curto, ed. Florence: Leo S. Olshki. (forth-coming)
“Trajectories of Democracy and Development: New Insights from
Graphic Analysis.” In revise & resubmit, American Sociological Review (under review)
Goldstone, J. A. "Engineering Culture, Innovation and Modern Wealth Creation." In Entrepreneurship and Innovations in Functional Regions, edited by C. Karlsson, B. Johansson, and R.R. Stough, 23-49. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A., Haldon, J. F. "Ancient states, empires and exploitation: problems and perspectives." In Dynamics of Ancient Empires: State Power from Assyria to Byzantium, edited by I. Morris and W. Scheidel, 1-29. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Sociology and Political Science: Learning and Challenges." In The Frontiers of Sociology (Annals of the International Institue of Sociology), edited by P. Hedstrom and B. Wittrock, 59-66. Amsterdam: Brill, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. “Revolution.” In International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences, 2nd ed., edited by William A. Darity, Jr., Vol. 7, 228-231 Detroit: Macmillan Reference USA, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Europe's Peculiar Path: Would the World be 'Modern' if William the Third's Invasion of England in 1688 had Failed?" In Unmaking the West: What-if? Scenarios that Rewrite World History. N. L. P. Tetlock, and G. Parker. Ann Arbor, MI, University of Michigan Press: 168-196, 2006.
Goldstone, J. A. "Engineering, Culture, Innovation, and Modern Wealth Creation." In Innovations and Entrepreneurship in Functional Regions, Uddevalla Symposium 2005. I. Johansson. Trollhattan, Sweden, University West: 455-474, 2006.
Goldstone, J. A. "A Historical, Not Comparative, Method: Breakthroughs and Limitations in the Theory and Methodology of Michael Mann's Analysis of Power." In An Anatomy of Power: The Social Theory of Michael Mann. J. H. a. R. Schroeder. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press: 263-282, 2006.
Goldstone, J. A., and J. Becker. "How Fast Can You Build a State?-State Building in Revolutions." In States and Development, edited by M. Lange and D. Reuschemeyer, 183-210. New York: Palgrave/Macmillan, 2005.
Editorships
Goldstone, J. A., Fandl, K., and Wolff, A., eds. Foreign Policy Bulletin. Cambridge University Press, 2006-.
Journal Articles and Reviews
“A Global Forecasting Model for Forecasting Political Instability.”American Journal of Political Science. January 2010
Goldstone, J.A. “Rethinking Revolutions: Integrating Origins, Processes, and Outcomes,” CSSAAME (Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa, and the Middle East) 29, no. 1 (2009): 8-32.
Goldstone, J. A. "Pathways to State Failure." Conflict Management and Peace Science 25, no. 4 (2008): 285-296.
Goldstone, J. A. "Capitalist Origins, the Advent of Modernity, and Coherent Explanation." Canadian Journal of Sociology 33, no. 1 (2008): 119-133.
Goldstone, J. A. "Bully for Prediction." Sociological Methodology 38, no. 1 (2008): 59-65.
Goldstone, J. A. "Europe’s Brave New World: Security Implications of Global Population Changes 2007-2050." European View 7 (2008): 319-332.
Goldstone, J.A. “Using Quantitative and Qualitative Models in Forecasts of Instability.”U.S. Institute of Peace Special Report no. 204. Washington, DC: U.S. Institute of Peace, March 2008.
Goldstone, J.A. "Flash Points and Tipping Points: Security Implications of Global Population Changes." ECSP Report 13 (2008-2009): 2-9.
Goldstone, J. A. "Unraveling the Mystery of Economic Growth." World Economics 8 (2007): 207-25.
Goldstone, J. A. "Tra Vecchio E Nuovo: Le Rivoluzioni Atlantiche in Una Prospettiva Globale (Something Old, Something New; the Atlantic Revolutions in Global Perspective)." Contemporanea, Rivista di storia dell '800 e del '900 10 (2007): 135-39.
Goldstone, J. A. and M. Marshall, "Global Report on Conflict, Governance and State Fragility 2007". Foreign Policy Bulletin 17 (2007): 3-21.
Goldstone, J. A. "Scarcity, Crises, and Choice: Comments on Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed by Jared Diamond." Columbia Journal of International Affairs 59 (2006): 335-346.
Goldstone, J. A. "Knowledge--Not Capitalism, Faith, or Reason--was the Key to 'The Rise of the West'." Historically speaking, the Newsletter of the Historical Society 7 (2006): 6-10.
Goldstone, J. A. "A History and Sociology of Historical Sociology." International Journal of Comparative Sociology 47 (2006): 359-369.
Goldstone, J. A. a. D. E., R. Bates, I. Kristenson, S. O'Halloran "Democratic Transitions." American Journal of Political Science 50 (2006): 551-569.
Recent Articles
Goldstone, J. A. "Revolutions." In Handbook of Comparative Politics, ed. Neil Robinson and Todd Landman. Beverly Hills: Sage, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Modern Revolutions? Yes they are." Harvard International Review Web-exclusive: http://www.harvardir.org/articles/1685/, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Engineering, Culture, Innovation, and Modern Wealth Creation." In Innovations and Entrepreneurship in Functional Regions, Uddevalla Symposium 2005, Irene Johansson, ed. Trollhattan, Sweden: University West (2006): pp. 455-474.
Presentations and Proceedings
Goldstone, J. A. "The Future of Cuba after Fidel." Moderator and presenter at State Department conference on Cuba, Arlington, VA, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Causes of State Fragility." Presented to OECD Development Assistance Committee, London, UK, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "US Security and the Middle East, 2008-2025." Presented at Meridien Center conference for the NIC, Washington, D.C., 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "The Origins of State Fragility and Challenges of State Reconstruction." Presented at US Marshall Center for Security Studies, Garmisch, Germany, 2008.
Goldstone, J. A. "Improving Evaluations of Democracy Assistance." Presented at National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., 2008.