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Stephen Fuller

Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor; Director, Center for Regional Analysis

Main: 703-993-3186
Fax: 703-993-4557

4400 University Drive– MS 3C6
Fairfax, Virginia 22030

Stephen Fuller joined the faculty at George Mason University in 1994 as Professor of Public Policy and Regional Development. He served as Director of the Ph.D. Program in Public Policy from July 1998 to June 2000 and from July 2001 to July 2002. He also serves as Director of the Center for Regional Analysis. In September 2001, the GMU Board of Visitors appointed him University Professor and in July 2002 he was named to the Dwight Schar Faculty Chair.

Prior to joining the Mason faculty, he served on the faculty at George Washington University for twenty-five years, including nine as Chairman of the Department of Urban Planning and Real Estate Development and one as Director of Doctoral Programs for the School of Business and Public Management.

Professor Fuller has authored more than 500 articles, papers, and reports in the field of urban and regional economic development including monthly reports on the Washington metropolitan area and Fairfax County economies.

His research focuses on the changing structure of metropolitan area economies and measuring their current and near-term performance. In 1990 he developed a monthly series of indicators to track the current and near-term performance of the Washington area economy. He also developed leading and coincident indices for Fairfax County in 1997. These monthly reports are available on the Center for Regional Analysis website. His research includes studies on the impacts of federal spending, the hospitality industry, international business and the building industry on the Washington area economy. His international assignments include Kazakhstan, Georgia, Hungary and China as well as on-going projects in Portugal.

In August 2006, Governor Kaine appointed Professor Fuller to the Governor’s Advisory Board of Economists. He had previously served on this Board under Governors Warner, Allen and Wilder. In 2003, he was a member of Governor Warner’s Tax Reform Working Group. He also is a member of the CFO Advisory Group of the District of Columbia. Additionally, he serves on the Board of Directors of the Global Environment and Technology Foundation and Tompkins Builders Inc. He has been economic advisor to Fairfax County, VA since 1995 and has been appointed by the Board of Supervisors to serve on the Board of Directors of the Fairfax County Convention and Visitors Authority. In 2007, he was appointed by Cardinal Bank as its Chief Economist.

In 1996, he was honored by the Economic Club of Washington as Educator of the Year and in 1997 was selected for the Richard T. Ely Distinguished Educator Award by Lambda Alpha International, an honorary society of land economists. He served as President of the Washington Chapter of Lambda Alpha from 1998 to 2000 and is a member of the Urban Land Institute’s Washington District Council. In 2001, he was selected by NAIOP as a Distinguished Fellow, an appointment that extends through 2007.

Areas of Research

Economic and Fiscal Impact Analyses
Economic Development in Developing Countries
Employment
Forecasting-population
Housing Policy
Income
Labor Force
Real Estate Development
Regional Analysis and Economic Development

Click here for entire CV

Education
Ph.D., Regional Planning and Economic Development, Cornell University

B.A., Economics, Rutgers University

Professional Experience
Dwight Schar Faculty Chair (2002-present)

University Professor (2001) and Professor of Public Policy and Regional Development, George Mason University, 7/94-Present.

Guest Scholar, Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC, July 1 – December 31, 2003.

Director, Ph.D. Program, Institute of Public Policy, George Mason University, July 1998 - July 2000; July 2001-July 2002.

President, Economic Reporter, Inc. and Economic Reporter Online, Alexandria, VA, 1995-1998.

Director, Doctoral Program, School of Business and Public Management, The George Washington University, 7/93-7/94.

Professor, Department of Finance; Program Director, Real Estate and Urban Development, 7/93-7/94.

Chairman, Department of Urban Planning and Real Estate Development, The George Washington University, 7/90-6/93.

Chairman, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, The George Washington University, 7/84-6/90

Professor of Urban and Regional Planning, The George Washington University, 7/80- 7/93.

Associate Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, The George Washington University 7/73-6/80.

Assistant Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, The George Washington University, 9/69-6/73.

Regional Planner, Appalachian Regional Commission, 9/68-8/69.

Associate Planner, Memphis and Shelby County Planning Commission, Memphis, Tennessee, 2/64-9/65.

Intern, Memphis and Shelby County Planning Commission, Summer 1963.

Planning Aide, Morris County Planning Commission, New Jersey, Summers 1961 and 1962; part-time during intervening academic year.

Book Sections
Fuller, S. S. “The Museum as a Source of Local Economic Growth,” In Cultura, Factor de Criacao de Riqueze-Uma Nova Perspective Dos Museus, 127-143. Catholic University, Lisbon: PT, Luso-Americana Foundation, October 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Direct and Indirect Impacts of Cultural Facilities on their Economies." In Cultura, Factor de Criacao de Riqueza. Fundacao Oriente and ipi: 47-58, May 2006.

Publications & Research
Fairfax County Economic Index, Monthly Report prepared for and distributed by the Department Of Management and Budget, Fairfax County; Vol. 1, Number 1, June 1997; monthly to Vol. VIII, Number 7, December 2004 available on CRA website.

Cardinal Bank Metropolitan Washington Economic Indices beginning Vol. XVII, No. 6, July, 2007 to present (available CRA website www.cra-gmu.org).

Fuller, S. S. "The Development Implications of Crain Corner Center," "Crain Corner Center Retail Market Demand Analysis," and "The Revitalization of the Town of Upper Marlboro and the Crain Corner Center." Prepared for Faison, LLC, January 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Impact of Construction Outlays for the Capital Beltway HOT Lanes on the Economies of Fairfax County, the Washington Metropolitan Area and the Commonwealth of Virginia." Prepared for Capital Beltway Express, LLC, January 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "Ensuring an Effective Economic Recovery Package." Testimony before the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, U.S. House of Representatives, January 22, 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Washington Metropolitan Area 2030 Economic Outlook: Standard Forecast." Prepared for the 2030 Group, March 23, 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Economic Impact of the Dow Chemical/Rohn & Hass Merge." February 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "D.C. CAPCO": Progress Report and Assessment." Prepared for The D.C. Coalition for Capital, April 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Impact of the Virginia Paving Company on the City of Alexandria Economy." Prepared for Virginia Paving Company, April 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "Recent Economic Trends and Near-Term Outlook for the WMATA Jurisdictions." Prepared as testimony for WMATA's Arbitration Hearing on April 28, 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Impact of Annual Operating and Capital Outlays by Dominion Virginia Power on the Economy of the Commonwealth of Virginia." May 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Fairfax City Economy: Its Current Performance and Near-Term Outlook." May 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "Expert Report." Labi Koi-Karbi v. Afua Seiwa Koi-Larbi, in the Superior Court of the District of Columbia-Family Court, May 31, 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "Proposed FY 09-FY 10 Capital Facilities Intensity Factor." Testimony before the Loudoun County Board of Supervisors, June 8, 2009.

Fuller, S. S. "The Impact of the Proposed Clemson Center Project on the Economy of the City of Frederick." Faison, February 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Impact of the Proposed Braddock Gateway Project on the City of Alexandria Economy." Jaguar Development, LLC, February 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Impact of Price Increases for Electricity on the 2017 Economy of the Commonwealth of Virginia." Dominion Power Company, March 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "2008 Washington Auto Show: Survey Results." WANADA, March 2008

Fuller, S. S. "Analysis of School-Age Population Change in Fairfax County's US Route 50 Area, 2005-2015 and 2020." May 2008.

Fuller, S. S., and J. McClain. "Greater Washington Regional Report." Prepared for the Great Washington Initiative, June 2008.

Fuller, S. S. and M. Dowell. "2008 State of the Business Report." DC Chamber of Commerce, June 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Sales of Heavy Construction Equipment as a Percentage of Construction Spending and Related Economic Impacts." Prepared for the Associated Equipment Dealers, July 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "Economic Trends and Market Conditions Supporting the Re-Zoning for the Subject Property--Brandywine Cross, Phase IIA, Zoning Map Amendment Application 10014." Faison, August 2008

Fuller, S. S. "Recent Economic Trends and Near-Term Outlook for the WMATA Jurisdictions." WMATA, July 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Fiscal Impact of the Land Use Changes in Stafford County's Proposed 2008 Land Use Plan." Prepared for the Fredericksburg Regional Chamber of Commerce, August 2008.

Fuller, S. S., and L. A. Fowler. "The Economic Impact of the University of Mary Washington." Prepared for the University of Mary Washington, November 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Economic and Fiscal Impacts of the Proposed Capitol Square Hotel on the District of Columbia." Prepared for JPG, LLC, November 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Economic Impacts of Construction and Operating the Proposed North Bethesda aPAD on Montgomery County, November 2008, and "Housing Supply and Demand Conditions in Montgomery County: Trends and Outlook." Prepared for ProMark Real Estate Services, LLC, December 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "Understanding Employment Analysis and Forecasting." Paper prepared for the Portuguese Department of Labor conference on employment forecasting, December 9, 2008.

“Chance for Revival,” Virginia Business, May 2008

Fuller, S. S. "Palm Beach County Economic Index." Vol. I. No. 1, prepared for the Palm Beach Office of the Clerk and Comptroller, March 2007 -

Washington Economic Index available through Vol. XVII, No. 5, June 2006 available on CRA website (www.cra-gmu.org)

“Federal Spending Is Driving Northern Virginia’s Booming Economy,” Virginia Business, January 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “2005 Base Realignment and Closure (B.R.A.C.) Recommendations and Their Impact on the Washington Metro Area Economy, Transportation, and Office Market.” Washington, DC: Transwestern Commercial Services, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “The Fairfax County Economy, 2005-2010: Recent Performance and Forecast.” Fairfax, VA: Fairfax County Department of Management and Budget, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “FY 2004 Federal Procurement Spending and Its Impact on the Washington Area Economy in 2005 and Beyond.” Washington, DC: First Horizon Bank, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “The Potential Impact of D.O.D. Agency Relocations on the Northern Virginia and Statewide Economies.” Northern Virginia Regional Commission, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. and L. Fowler. “Economic Impact of George Mason University on the Northern Virginia Economy.” Fairfax, VA: George Mason University, 2005.

Washington Economic Index, Vol. XIII, No. 12, January 2004 monthly to Vol. XIV No. 11, December 2004 available on CRA website.

“Washington’s Regional Economy is Nation’s Strongest,” Labor Market Trends, DC DOES, Vol. 3, No. 5.

“How is the Washington, DC Economy Doing?” Inside Personal Finance with Ric Edelman, Vol. 10, No. 8,, August 2004.

“What’s the Outlook for the Virginia Economy,” VLTA Examiner, Virginia Land Title Association, Vol. 10, Number 2, Summer 2004, pp. 25-28.

“The Fuller Report, Washington Area Economic Forecast, 2004,” ULI Washington News, Vol. 1, Issue 3, Spring 2004.

Washington Economic Index, Vol. XII, No. 12, January 2002 monthly to Vol. XIII, No. 11, December 2003 available on CRA website.

“Aggregates Play a Positive Role in America: The Impact of the Crushed Stone and Sand and Gravel Industries on the U. S. Economy,” Stone, Sand & Gravel Review, pp 40-42. November/December 2003.

Federal Spending, Especially on Security, Kept Washington Economy Growing in 2002, The Brooking Institution Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy, September 2003.

“Stephen Fuller on the Economy,” Interview with Crystal City Magazine by Diana Carswell, Summer 2003.

“Virginia Is For Tax Haters,” Washington Post, Outlook Section November 3, 2002.

“Federal Spending Saves Region from Recession,” Washington Area Trends, Brookings Greater Washington Research Program, Issue No. 23, June 2002.

“Outlook for District Economy is Good,” Pipeline, DC Building Industry Association, Volume XXIX, February 2002.

“Washington’s Wartime Economy,” Washington Business Forward Magazine, pp. 30 ff, November 2001.

“Washington Building Congress Building Industry Forecast: The Washington Area Economy’s 2000-2001 Performance and Outlook for 2002,” Bulletin, Washington Building Congress, October 2001.

“The Economy, Housing, and Your Commute?” Inside Personal Finance with Ric Edelman, September 2001.

“Changes in Federal Procurement Nationally Favor The Washington Metropolitan Area,” Washington Area Trends, Brookings Greater Washington Research Program, Issue No. 19, September 2001.

“Washington Area Economy: Transformation and Growth,” The Future Is Here, 2001 Regional Report, Greater Washington Initiative, pp. 12-14, June 2001.

“Federal Procurement Increases $2.95 Billion in 2000,” Washington Area Trends, Brookings Greater Washington Research Program, Issue No. 18, April 2001.

“The Crystal Ball,” Regardie’s Power, January-February 2001, pp. 77-79.

“The Economic Outlook for the Washington Area Economy,” Forecasting the Greater Washington Economy, 2001, Ninth Annual GMU Conference, January, 2001.

Presentations and Proceedings
Fuller, S. S. “The Impact of Price Increases for Electricity on the 2017 Economy of the Commonwealth of Virginia.” Presented to Dominion Power Company, 2008.

Fuller, S. S., and J. McClain. “Great Washington Regional Report.” Presented to the Great Washington Initiative, 2008.

Fuller, S. S. “The Impact of Construction Outlays for the Capital Beltway HOT Lanes on the Economies of Fairfax County, the Washington Metropolitan Area and the Commonwealth of Virginia.” Presented to Capital Beltway Express, LLC, 2008.

Fuller, S. S. “Understanding Employment Analysis and Forecasting.” Presented to the Portuguese Department of Labor, Conference on Employment Forecasting, 2008.

Fuller, S. S., and L. A. Fowler. “The Economic Impact of the University of Mary Washington.” Presented to the University of Mary Washington, 2008.

Books
Fuller, S. S. The Contribution of Office, Industrial and Retail Development and Construction to the U.S. Economy, 2008 Edition, NAIOP Research Foundation, produced in conjunction with McGraw Hill Construction, October 2008.

Fuller, S. S. "The Direct and Indirect Impacts of Cultural Facilities on their Economies." In Cultura, Factor de Criacao de Riqueza. Fundacao Oriente and ipi: 47-58, May 2006.

Journal Articles and Reviews
Fuller, S. S. “Chance for Revival.” Virginia Business, May 2008.

Fuller, S. S. “Federal Spending Is Driving Northern Virginia’s Booming Economy.” Virginia Business, January 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “The Fairfax County Economy, 2005-2010: Recent Performance and Forecast.” Fairfax, VA: Fairfax County Department of Management and Budget, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “FY 2004 Federal Procurement Spending and Its Impact on the Washington Area Economy in 2005 and Beyond.” Washington, DC: First Horizon Bank, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. “The Potential Impact of D.O.D. Agency Relocations on the Northern Virginia and Statewide Economies.” Northern Virginia Regional Commission, 2005.

Fuller, S. S. and L. Fowler. “Economic Impact of George Mason University on the Northern Virginia Economy.” Fairfax, VA: George Mason University, 2005.

Reports
Fuller, S. S. Fairfax County Economic Index, Monthly Report prepared for and distributed by the Department Of Management and Budget, Fairfax County; Vol. 1, Number 1, June 1997 undated monthly through June 2009 (available on the CRA website www.cra-gmu.org)

Cardinal Bank Metropolitan Washington Economic Indices beginning Vol. XVII, No. 6, July 2007 to June 2009 (available on the CRA website www.cra-gmu.org).