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Education
George Mason University, Fairfax, VA
PhD, Public Policy, May 2006
Dissertation: "Immigrant Suburbs: An Analysis of the Residential Mobility and Location Decisions of Recent Immigrants"
Chair: Dr. Stephen S. Fuller
External Reader: Dr. Audrey Singer, The Brookings Institution
University of Maryland, College Park, MD
Master of Public Policy, May 2000
Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC
Bachelor of Science, Mathematical Economics, May 1994
Research Interests
Housing Demographics
Residential Mobility Policy Analysis
Regional Economic Development Survey Methods
Professional Experience
George Mason University School of Public Policy, Arlington, VA
Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis, 2012-present
Associate Research Professor, 2012-present
Assistant Research Professor, 2007-2008, 2009-2012
Adjunct Faculty, 2008-2009
Post-doctoral Fellow, 2006-2007
Graduate Research Assistant, 2005-2006
Arlington County Department of Community Planning, Housing and Development, Arlington, VA
Demographic Planner, 2001-2005
Mathematica Policy Research, Washington DC
Research Analyst, Human Services Division, 2000-2001
University of Maryland, College Park, MD
Research Assistant, 1999-2000
Academic Advisor, 1997-1999
Urban Institute, Washington DC
Research Assistant, Income and Benefits Policy Center, Summer 1999
American Association of Homes and Services for the Aging, Washington DC
Research/Computer Assistant, 1996-1997
Research Triangle Institute/Triangle Economic Research, Research Triangle Park, NC
Associate Economist, 1994-1996
Peer Reviewed Publications
Sturtevant, Lisa A. Forthcoming. The New District of Columbia: What Population Growth and Demographic Change Mean for the City. Journal of Urban Affairs.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and Yu Jin Jung. 2011. Are We Moving Back to the City? Examining Residential Mobility in the Washington DC Metropolitan Area. Growth and Change 42(1): 48-71.
Other Publications
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "Inventories Being Drawn Down in the Region and the Supply of Lower-Price Homes is Shrinking." Update. April/May.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "If We Build It, Will They Come? The Importance of Domestic Migration to the Northern Virginia Economy." NOVAExec Spring.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "Virginia’s Changing Demographic Landscape." Virginia Issues and Answers Winter 2011-2012, Vol.17, No. 1.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Making Sense of Federal Housing Policy and the Impacts on the Northern Virginia Market." NoVaExec Fall.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "The Changing Face of Northern Virginia." Update July/August.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "The Northern Virginia Housing Market…Like No Other." NoVa Exec Summer.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2010. "The Changing Rental Market in Northern Virginia." Update November.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2010. Housing More Clouds Over Sky-High Metro Housing? www.newgeography.com.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2010. "D.C.’s Evolving Economy: The Best of Both Worlds," AAG Newsletter.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2010. "Market Update: All Calculations Are Not Created Equal--Assessing Home Price Data in Northern Virginia." Update January/February.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2009. A Return to the City or a New Divide in the Nation’s Capital Region? www.newgeography.com.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2009. "Condominiums—A Big Part of Region’s Market Recovery...For Now." Update November/December.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2009. "Lower Price Homes—Driving Sales Uptick." Update September.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2008. "Affordable Rentals to the Rescue." Planning June.
McClain, John and Lisa A. Fowler. 2006. "Is Now a Good Time to Buy? Extended Slowdown Unlikely." Update November.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2006. "Anatomy of a Market Deceleration: Performance Varies Among Localities, Housing Types." Update September.
Reports and Working Papers
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and Maurice Champagne. 2012. Domestic Migration To And From The Washington DC Metropolitan Area: 1985 – 2010. George Mason University Center for Regional Analysis Working Paper 12-01.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and Stephen S. Fuller. 2011. Housing the Region’s Future Workforce: Policy Challenges for Local Jurisdictions. GMU Center for Regional Analysis.
Fuller, Stephen S. and Lisa A. Sturtevant. 2011. Charles County Land Use Market Demand Analysis Technical Memo. Prepared for ERM.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "ACS Estimates and Sources of Error." CRA Census Report Series, May.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Population Change in Northern Virginia." CRA Census Series, April.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Population Change in the District of Columbia." CRA Census Series, April.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Population Change in the Washington DC Metropolitan Area." CRA Census Series, April.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Commute Times in the Washington DC Metropolitan Area." CRA Census Series, June.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Educational Attainment in Metro Washington." CRA Census Series, February.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and John McClain. 2010. Forecasts of Development for Dulles Corridor Station Areas and the Route 28 Corridor. Report prepared for Fairfax County Department of Planning.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and John McClain. 2010. The Impact of Mixed Use/Mixed Income Housing Development in the Richmond Area. Report prepared for the Partnership for Affordable Housing.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and John McClain. 2010. Analysis of the Central Virginia Area Housing Market: 2009 Annual and 4th Quarter Report. Prepared for the Richmond Association of Realtors.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and Yu Jin Jung. 2009. Domestic Migration To And From The Washington DC Metropolitan Area: 1985 – 2007. George Mason University Center for Regional Analysis.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. and John McClain. 2009. Analysis of the Central Virginia Area Housing Market: 3rd Quarter Report. Prepared for the Richmond Association of Realtors.
Fowler, Lisa A. and John McClain. 2008. Foreclosures in the Washington Metropolitan Region. Report prepared for the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments.
Fuller, Stephen and Lisa A. Fowler. 2008. The Economic Impact of the University of Mary Washington. Report prepared for the University of Mary Washington.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2007. The Role of Non-Profit Down Payment Assistance in the Federal Goal of Expanding Homeownership. Report prepared for AmeriDream, Incorporated.
Fowler, Lisa A. and Stephen S. Fuller. 2007. National Economic Impact of Non-Profit Down Payment Assistance Providers. Report prepared for AmeriDream Incorporated.
McClain, John and Lisa A. Fowler. 2006. Need for Affordable/Workforce Housing in Fairfax County. Report prepared for the Fairfax County Department of Housing and Community Development.
Fowler, Lisa A. and Stephen S. Fuller. 2006. Characteristics of Homebuyers Receiving Assistance from Non-Profit Down Payment Assistance Providers. Report prepared for AmeriDream Incorporated.
Fowler, Lisa A. and Stephen S. Fuller. 2006. An Evaluation of Research on the Performance of Loans with Down Payment Assistance. Report prepared for AmeriDream Incorporated.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2006. Policies and Programs to Preserve Affordable Housing: A Review of Incentives and Recommendations for Northern Virginia. Report prepared for The Alliance for Housing Solutions.
Fuller, Stephen S., Lisa A. Fowler and Michelle R. Ranville. 2006. Telling the Story of U.S. Army Women: Opportunities, Challenges and Benefits of Service. Report prepared for the U.S. Army Women’s Foundation.
McClain, John and Lisa A. Fowler. 2006. Definition of Moderate Income in Fairfax County. Report prepared for the Fairfax County Department of Housing and Community Development.
Fuller, Stephen S. and Lisa A. Fowler. 2006. Regent Park Retail Market Study. Report prepared for D.R. Horton.
McClain, John and Lisa A. Fowler. 2006. Housing Market Trends: 2005 Year-End Report. Report prepared for the Rappahannock-Rapidan Regional Commission.
McClain, John and Lisa A. Fowler. 2005. Economic Development Potential and Implications: Report to the City of Falls Church. Report prepared for the Falls Church Economic Development Office.
Fowler, Lisa and Stephen S. Fuller. 2005. Economic Impact of George Mason University on the Northern Virginia Economy. Report prepared for the Office of the President, George Mason University.
Fowler, Lisa and Justin Clarke. 2005. Development in the Metro Corridors. Arlington County Department of Community Housing, Planning and Development.
Kauff, Jaqueline, Lisa Fowler, Thomas Fraker, and Julita Milliner-Waddell. 2001. Iowa Families That Left TANF: Why Did They Leave and How Are They Faring? Report prepared for the Iowa Department of Human Services. Mathematica Policy Research: Washington DC.
Cunnyngham, Karen and Lisa Fowler. 2001. Characteristics of Food Stamp Households: Fiscal Year 2000. Report prepared for the U.S. Department of Agriculture Food and Nutrition Service. Mathematica Policy Research: Washington DC.
Rosso, Randy and Lisa Fowler. 2000. Characteristics of Food Stamp Households: Fiscal Year 1999. Report prepared for the U.S. Department of Agriculture Food and Nutrition Service. Mathematica Policy Research:
Washington DC.
Blogs (Invited)
Housing recovery moves to the suburbs, washingtonpost.com, August 28, 2012
Washington metro area condo market’s revival could be tempered, washingtonpost.com, August 14, 2012
Distressed properties are least of the Washington area’s housing problems, washingtonpost.com, July 17, 20112
Too Many Bites at the Apple: Complexity gets in the way of housing approvals , the2030group.com, July 16, 2012 (w/Agnes Artemel)
Housing sales activity shows increase, washingtonpost.com, July 3, 2012
Signs of life in Washington area homebuilding, June 19, 2012
Affordability could be an issue in Washington area, washingtonpost.com, June 5, 2012
Prince George’s County April home prices rise, washingtonpost.com, May 23, 2012
In many neighborhoods, homes are selling much faster than before, washingtonpost.com, May 9, 2012
Young, rich and childless: What Washington’s new residents mean for the city’s future, washingtonpost.com, April 24, 2012
For lower-priced homes, a seller’s market, washingtonstpost.com, April 11, 2012
Housing Future Workers: The Region’s Economic Vitality Depends on It, the2030group.com, March 22, 2012
Spring blooms early for DC housing market, washingtonpost.com, March 20, 2012
Washington area home prices: A tale of two states, washingtonpost.com, March 7, 2012
Signs of life in residential construction market, washingtonpost.com, February 22, 2012
Will Obama’s housing plan work? washingtonpost.com, February 1, 2012
Trade offs between housing and transportation—Keys to ensuring the region’s future economic vitality, www.regionforward.org, November 2, 2011
Selected Conference Presentations
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "The Washington DC Regional Economy: Current Conditions and Outlook." Presentation at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Regional Economics Workshop, Richmond, VA, August 1.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "Population and Demographic Changes in the District of Columbia." Paper presented at the 42nd Annual Urban Affairs Association Conference, Pittsburgh, PA, April 20.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "Housing the Region’s Future Workforce." Presentation at the ULI Washington Real Estate Trends Conference, Washington DC, April 17.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2012. "What Will Drive the Washington DC Region’s Housing Market?" Presentation at the 20th Annual Greater Washington Economic Conference, Tysons Corner, VA, January 13.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "The Economic Context for Preserving Affordable Housing in Northern Virginia." Presented at the 2011 Virginia Governor’s Housing Conference, Hampton, VA, November 17.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "Housing the Region’s Future Workforce Policy Challenges for Local Jurisdictions." Presented at the Regional Housing Conference co-sponsored by the GMU Center for Regional Analysis and
the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments, Arlington, VA, October 25.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "American Community Survey Data: Opportunities (and Challenges) for Local Planners." Presented at the APA Virginia Annual Conference, Wintergreen, VA, July 22.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2011. "The Role of Housing in the Economic Recovery." Presentation at the 19th Annual Greater Washington Economic Conference, Tysons Corner, VA, January 14.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2010. "The Impact of Local Anti-Immigration Policies on Neighboring Jurisdictions" Paper presented at the 32nd Annual American Public Policy and Management Research Conference, November 4-6.
Sturtevant, Lisa A. 2009. "Evidence of Back to the City Moves? An Analysis of the Washington DC Region" Paper presented at the 29th Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association
International, November 19-21.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2006. "The Intra-Metropolitan Location Choice of Immigrants: An Analysis of Recent Immigrants in New York, Los Angeles and Washington DC" Paper presented at the 53rd Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International, November 16-18.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2006. "The Relationship Between Housing Costs, Job Growth and Residential Location of Recent Immigrants" Paper presented at the 53rd Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International, November 16-18.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2005. "People or Place?: Explaining the Residential Location Choice of New Immigrants." Paper presented at the 52nd Annual North American Meetings of the Regional Science Association International, November 10-12. Paper presented at the International Conference on Social Science Research, December 4-6.
Fowler, Lisa A. 2005. "Evolving Immigrant Settlement Patterns in U.S. Metropolitan Areas." Poster presented at Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management Annual Research Conference, November 3-5.
Teaching
School of Public Policy, George Mason University
PUBP704: Statistical Methods in Policy Analysis
Graduate-level introduction to statistical methods and techniques used in policy sciences. Topics include descriptive statistics, sampling and probability theory, graphical data display, estimation and significance
testing, contingency tables, bivariate regression and correlation, and multiple regression, with introduction to computer-based statistical analysis.
PUBP 710: Introduction to Survey Methodology
A course offered to master’s and Phd students providing an introduction to concepts and practice of survey methodology. Topics include sampling, survey error, questionnaire design, data collection methods, survey administration, post collection data processing, preparing survey results for publication and ethics in survey methodology.
PUBP713: Policy and Program Evaluation
A methods course offered to students in the master’s program. The course examines the many facets of the evaluation process including the purposes and types of evaluations, evaluation strategies, evaluation methodology, and applications. The class includes instructor lecture, focused around a text and case studies, as well as student discussions and presentations.
PUBP501: Policy and Organizational Analysis Prepares masters level students to engage in systematic quantitative and qualitative analysis. Emphasis on research design, information acquisition, data analysis techniques, basic statistical analysis, and presentation.
REAL 796: Affordable Housing Studies Supervised independent study for three students in the School of Management’s Master’s program in Real
Estate Development. Topics covered included history and trends in affordable housing policy and regulation, local policy responses to affordable housing demand, and public-private partnership approaches
to residential development. The students used four jurisdictions in the Washington DC metropolitan area as their case studies to investigate these affordable housing issues.
Math Camp (Fall and Spring)
Two-day math review session for public policy master’s students preparing to enroll in microeconomics. Includes lecture, pre- and post-tests, and a homework assignment.
Division of Letters and Sciences, University of Maryland
UNIV100: The Student in the University
Facilitates major exploration and career testing. Introduces students to resources of the University.
Workshops
Census Data Workshop: The U.S. Census and American Community Survey – Effectively Accessing and Using Local Data. Workshop delivered to participants including local and Federal government staff, developers,
realtors and community activists. March and September 2011 and September 2012.
Professional and Public Service
Guest Lecturer: PUBP810 Regional Development/Transportation Policy; PUAF729 Intergovernmental Issues in the Washington DC Region; PUBP850 Public Policy Doctoral Seminar; PUBP602 Regional Economic
Development Policy
Manuscript Review: Growth and Change, World Medical & Health Policy Journal (methods)
Community Presentations: Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments, Urban Land Institute, Center for Housing Policy, National Housing Conference, Annual Leckey Forum on Affordable Housing, Montgomery County Affordable Housing Partnership, City of Alexandria Housing Master Plan Kickoff, City of Falls Church Economic Development Department, Reston Task Force, Annual Small Business Procurement Conference, Leadership Arlington, Leadership Prince William, Housing Association of Nonprofit Developers, NoVa Nonprofit Roundtable, Fredericksburg Association of Realtors, Northern Virginia Association of Realtors, Arlington Committee of 100, Nonprofit Roundtable of Greater Washington, Leadership Fairfax, National Capital Planning Commission, Association of Hispanic Advertising Executives
Press Interviews: Business Week, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Washington Times, International Business Times, AP, Washingtonian magazine, Northern Virginia magazine, Arlington Gazette,
DC Examiner, DC City Paper, La Opinion/Impremedia, WTOP, WAMU, WETA, NBC4 Richmond
Member of Board of Directors, RealEstate Business Intelligence
Member of Editorial Board, NoVa Exec Magazine
Member, Arlington County Economic Development Commission
Grants and Contracts
Grants/Contracts Under Review
Evaluation of Moving to Work Grant (w/ James Witte) – Under review
Subcontract to Fairfax County Housing and Redevelopment Authority
U.S. Housing and Urban Development
2012
Forecasts of Housing Demand in the Hampton Roads Metropolitan Area – Under review Housing Virginia
2012
Grants/Contracts Awarded
Forecasts of Housing Demand in the Richmond Metropolitan Area
Housing Virginia
2012
$18,000
Update of Forecasts of Development for Tysons Corner and the Dulles Corridor Station Areas and the Route 28
Corridor (w/ John McClain)
Fairfax County Department of Planning and Zoning
2012
$17,000
Housing in the Greater Washington Region (w/ Stephen Fuller)
The 2030 Group, Bank of America, Stephen T. Antosh, Thomas S. Bozzuto, Sidney O, Dewberry, Elm Street Development, Friedman French Foundation, William Hazel, Donald and Angela Irwin, Kettler Inc., NVR Inc., and Miller and Smith Inc.
2011
Housing Research Support, RBIntel/MRIS
2011
$58,000
Development of an Economic Indicator Series
City of Alexandria Economic Development Partnership
2010
$16,000
Housing Demand in the Washington Region (w/ Stephen Fuller)
The 2030 Group
2010
$20,000
Forecasts of Development for Dulles Corridor Station Areas and the Route 28 Corridor (w/ John McClain)
Fairfax County Department of Planning and Zoning
2010
$25,000
The Impact of Mixed Use/Mixed Income Housing (w/ John McClain)
Richmond Partnership for Housing Affordability
2009
$21,000
Grant/Contract Proposals - Not Awarded
Housing Plan Element for COG Regional Sustainable Communities Plan (subcontract to Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments)
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
2011
$108,000
Transit-Oriented Development Housing Needs Analysis, Council of Governments Transportation/Land
Use Connections (TLC) Program
2011
$60,000
Livable Transit Corridors: Methods, Metrics and Strategies, Transportation Research Board, NASNRC
(w/ Kelley Coyner-consultant)
2011
$300,000
An Analysis of Housing Needs in the City of Lynchburg, Virginia, The City of Lynchburg, Virginia,
2011
$28,000
Housing as a "Bottom Line" Issue: The Link Between Affordable Housing and Economic Sustainability
MacArthur Foundation
2010
$25,000
Regional Sustainable Communities Plan (subcontract to Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments)
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
$300,000
2010
References
Available upon request