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Andrew
F. Krepinevich, Jr. EDUCATION Harvard
University Ph.D. 1984 Harvard University M.P.A. 1980 U.S. Military Academy B.S. 1972 MEMBERSHIP IN PROFESSIONAL ASSOCIATIONS
2004 Transforming the Legions: The Army and the Future of Land Warfare (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) The Iraq Trilogy (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) The War in Iraq: The Nature of Insurgency Warfare Vietnam and Iraq: Déjà vu All Over Again? The Thin Green Line
Operation Iraqi Freedom: A First-Blush Assessment (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) The Way to Baghdad (Wall Street Journal) Preemption in Iraq: Rationale, Risks and Requirements (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) Meeting the Anti-Access Challenge (with Barry Watts and Robert Work) (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments)
Rummy’s Pentagon War (Wall Street Journal) The Military-Technical Revolution: A Preliminary Assessment (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments Lighting the Path Ahead: Field Exercises and Transformation (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) The Army and Land Warfare: Transforming the Legions (Joint Forces Quarterly) 2001 A Strategy for a Long Peace (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) The Transformation of Strategic Strike (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments)
Transforming America’s Alliances (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) Why No Transformation? (Joint Forces Quarterly) W(h)ither the Army? (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments) Military Experimentation: Time to Get Serious (Naval War College Review) (Essay Prize Winner) Ready for What? (The Wall Street Journal)
Two Cheers for Air Power (The Wall Street Journal) The Lessons of Kosovo (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments)
Smarter Bombs, Fewer Nukes (The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists) The Strike: Clinton’s Credibility Abroad is Crucial (The Washington Post, Outlook) Finally, A Real Defense Debate (Issues in Science and Technology)
Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st Century (National Defense Panel) Toward a Post-Nuclear Military? (Issues in Science and Technology). The Quadrennial Defense Review and Military Transformation. (National Security Studies Quarterly). Air Force at a Crossroads. (Issues in Science and Technology).
The Air Force of 2016 (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments). Competing for the Future: Searching for Major Ellis (Marine Corps Gazette) A New Navy for a New Era (Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments). The Military Revolution: Implications for Alliance Relationships (L ’Armament). Transforming the Navy’s Warfighting Capabilities (Issues in Science and Technology).
1995 Toward a Smaller -- and Different -- Military (Washington Quarterly). The Clinton Defense Program (The Mershon Center’s Defense Annual). Missed Opportunities: An Assessment of the Roles and Missions Commission Report (The Defense Budget Project). Train Wreck Coming? (National Review). Restructuring for a New Era: Framing the Roles and Missions Debate (The Defense Budget Project). Funding Innovation: Low-Cost Options for Leveraging the Military Revolution (The Defense Budget Project). Recasting Military Roles and Missions (Issues in Science and Technology).
Recovery From Defeat: The U.S. Army and Vietnam in The Aftermath of Defeat, George J. Andreopoulos and Harold E. Selesky, eds. Yale University Press. From Cavalry to Computer: Military Revolutions (The National Interest). Keeping Pace With the Military-Technological Revolution (Issues in Science and Technology). The Clinton Defense Program (Strategic Review). Assessing the Bottom-Up Review (Joint Forces Quarterly). La revolution a venir dans la nature des conflicts: une perspective americaine (Defense Nationale). The Bottom-Up Review: An Assessment. (The Defense Budget Project).
Vietnam: Evaluating the Ground War 1965-68 in An American Dilemma, Dennis E. Showalter and John G. Albert, eds. Imprint Publications. The Coming Revolution in the Nature of Conflict: An American Perspective, Cahier du Crest (Journal of the Center for the Study of Strategy and Technology).
The Military-Technical Revolution: A Preliminary Assessment (Department of Defense).
Winds of Change: The Decline of Soviet Military Power and its Implications for Western Security (The Soviet Union After Perestroika. Brassey’s, Inc)
Vietnam: The Ground War, 1965-68 (U.S. Air Force Academy, XIVth Military History Symposium)
Soviet Military Power: Prospects for Change (Editor) (U.S. Government Printing Office) Department of Defense Annual Report to the Congress (Editor) (U.S. Government Printing Office)
Preserving the Common Defense: Challenges for the 1990s (Department of Defense) Soviet Military Power 1988 (Editor) (U.S. Government Printing Office) Department of Defense Annual Report to the Congress (Editor) (U.S. Government Printing Office)
Low-Intensity Conflict and the U.S. Army's Adaptability in Doctrine and Force Structure in Democracy, Strategy, and Vietnam (Lexington Press) Department of Defense Annual Report to the Congress (Editor) (U.S. Government Printing Office)
The Army and Vietnam . The Johns Hopkins University Press Winner of the 1987 Furniss Award for Best Book on National Security Affairs 1984 No First Use and Conventional Deterrence: The Politics of Defense Policymaking, in The President and National Security Policymaking (Lexington Press) Domestic Coalitions and Defense Policymaking in the United States in Conventional Deterrence (Lexington Press)
Air University Review WORK IN PROGRESS Dissuasion Strategies The Second Nuclear Regime Can We Win in Iraq? NSC-2006 Transforming the US Global Basing Posture Book: Meeting the Challenge of Transformation Case Studies • Revolution at Sea: The U.S. Navy and Carrier Aviation • The Birth of Blitzkrieg • “Radical” Jackie Fisher and the Transformation of the Royal Navy Defense Investment Strategies in Periods of Discontinuous Change
2004 Phase IV in Iraq: Training and Equipping the Force (Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats, and International Relations, House Committee on Government Reform) 2003 The Lessons of the Second Gulf War (House Armed Services Committee) Homeland Defense: A Proliferation of Strategies (House Committee on Government Reform; Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats, and International Relations
US Military Transformation (Senate Armed Services Committee)
A Strategy for a Long Peace (Senate Budget Committee) The Two-War Defense Posture (House Armed Services Committee)
Thinking Strategically About the Defense Budget (House Budget Committee) Modernizing the Tactical Air Forces: A Strategic Perspective (Senate Armed Services Committee, Airland Subcommittee) Emerging Threats, Revolutionary Capabilities and Military Transformation (Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities)
Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st Century (Senate Armed Services Committee) Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st Century (House National Security Committee) Defense Modernization and Military Transformation (House National Security Committee, Subcommittees on Research and Development, and Procurement) 1997 The Quadrennial Defense Review (House National Security Committee) The Future of U.S. Tactical Aviation (Senate Armed Services Committee, Airland Subcommittee)
U.S. Military Deployment in Balkan Peace Enforcement Operations: Operational Challenges (House National Security Committee) The Military Revolution: Restructuring Defense for the 21st Century (Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Acquisition and Technology)
A Critique of the Twelve-Carrier Navy (Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Regional Defense and Contingency Forces) The Bottom-Up Review (House Armed Services Committee) Military Roles and Missions: New Thinking Needed (Senate Budget Committee) 1997-Present Georgetown University Graduate courses designed and taught: 1991-Present The Johns Hopkins University Graduate courses designed and taught:
Undergraduate courses designed and taught:
Undergraduate courses designed and taught: 1980-1984 U.S. Military Academy (West Point) Undergraduate courses taught: Undergraduate courses designed and taught: 1980-1984 Coach, U.S. Military Academy Debate Team. Seminar Leader
2005 The Patterns of Transformation & Investment Strategies In Periods of Disruptive Change (Joint Forces Command) The 2005 Quadrennial Defense Review (Boeing Senior Leader Conference)
Transforming America’s Alliances (Joint Staff, Pentagon) Counterinsurgency and Iraq (Army General Officers’ Conference) Challenges to the Sole Remaining Superpower (CIA) Maritime Power and the Future Security Environment (US Naval War College) Counterinsurgency and Iraq (CIA) Transforming America’s Alliances (Ecole Militaire) Transformation: A Status Report (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory) The US Defense Posture (Minister of Defense, Singapore) The Army and Iraq (Council on Foreign Relations) A Hollow Buildup? (Embassy of Japan) The Bush Defense Program (Bear Sterns) Transformation: Where Do We Go From Here? (Lockheed Martin Senior Executive Council) The Future of Military Transformation (MIT Lincoln Laboratory) Restructuring the Global Basing Posture (Chief of Naval Operations Executive Panel)
The Nuclear Posture Review (Los Alamos National Laboratory) Iraq: Winning the War, Losing the Peace? (Columbia University) Restructuring the Global Basing Posture (Embassy of Japan) Meeting the Challenge of Rapidly Changing Technologies (Defense Threat Reduction Agency) The Politics of Transformation (Secretary of Defense Corporate Fellows) Lessons of Operation Iraqi Freedom (Boeing Senior Leadership Council) US Military Transformation (US Army School of Advanced Military Studies) US Military Transformation (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory) The Coming War with Iraq (Embassy of Japan) Defense Transformation (DoD, Under Secretary for Acquisition and Technology Conference) US National Security Strategy (US State Department) Transformation and US Alliances (SACLANT Open Road Conference)
Transformation: Leap Forward or Sloganeering? (Council on Foreign Relations) The Challenge of Transformation (Embassy of France) The Grand Strategy of the US Military (Yale University) Winning the Next War (Milwaukee World Affairs Council) The Challenge of Transformation (US Army War College) The Future Security Environment and Military Transformation (Singapore Island Forum) Transformation: Evolution or Revolution? (US Marine Corps Association) The Bush Defense Program (Progressive Policy Institute)
Surveying the Strategic Landscape (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab) The First War of a New Century (Carnegie Council) The QDR and Operational Concepts for Defense (National Defense University) America’s Response to Terrorism (Council on Foreign Relations) Transformation: The Role of Training (Defense Science Board) Defense Transformation (Sandia National Laboratory) The Need for Defense Transformation (Highlands Forum) US Military Strategy and Ballistic Missile Defense (Council on Foreign Relations) The RMA and the US Military (DoD, US-Singapore Bilateral Talks) Military Transformation: The Role of Technology (Defense Science Board) Handicapping the Rumsfeld Review (Air Force General Office Seminar) Strategy for a Long Peace (Council on Foreign Relations) The Future of Warfare (Defense Science Board) Military Transformation (US Army War College) 2000 Alternative Paths to Transformation (National Defense University) The Future of Naval Forces in the Asia-Pacific Region (US Naval War College) The Military Revolution and the Asia-Pacific (Australia, Ministry of Defence) The Navy and the QDR (CNO Executive Series Luncheon) Military Transformation: A Case Study Approach (OSD, Program Analysis and Evaluation Staff) The Two-War Posture (Hart-Rudman Commission) W(h)ither the Army? (Congressional Member Breakfast) The Navy and the QDR (Vice Chief of Naval Operations Executive Luncheon Series) Transforming America’s Alliances (Congressional Member Breakfast) The Military Revolution and the Asia Pacific (Australia MoD Conference) Defense and the Next Administration (General Dynamics)
The Coming Military Revolution (Canadian Flag Officers Conference) Democrats and Defense (Democratic Congressional Caucus) Defense Budget Priorities (Council on Foreign Relations) Diplomacy and the Use of Force (State Department) Transformation Challenges (Defense Science Board) Transforming Defense (Lockheed Martin) The Coming Transformation in Power-Projection (Stanford University) The Promise of Aerospace Power (US Air Force Staff) The Military Revolution (Office of Management and Budget) A Defense Posture for a New Century (National Defense University) The Lessons of Kosovo (Defense Correspondents Press Breakfast) Defense Issues 2000 (Commandant, US Marine Corps Staff)
US Defense Strategy (US Air University) The Future Security Environment (Precision Strike Association) Transforming Defense (General Accounting Office) The Chinese Military and US Military Transformation (De Toqueville Congressional Roundtable) Transforming Defense (Association of the US Army) Military Transformation (Atlantic Council) National Defense and Transformation (US Army War College) 1997 The Coming Military Transformation (Center for Naval Analyses) The Quadrennial Defense Review (Johns Hopkins University, Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Foreign Policy Institute) The Future of U.S. Military Alliances in East Asia (Stanford University) The QDR: Planning for Military Transformation? (McDonnell Douglas Corporation)
The Quadrennial Defense Review and the Military Revolution (Georgetown University) Competing for the Future: The Challenge of Military Transformation (Air University) Emerging Technologies: Implications for U.S. Force Structure (Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University) The Military Revolution: Implications for Defense Investment Strategies (Harvard University) The Future of Warfare (National War College) The Defense Budget: Beyond the “Train Wreck” (Navy Studies Board) The Military Revolution and the Future of Conventional Deterrence (Rockwell Corporation, Systems Futures Group) The Coming Military Revolution (Naval Postgraduate School) Thinking About the Military Revolution (The Hughes Corporation) The Defense Budget: An Independent Assessment (U.S. Army Management Staff College) Competing for the Future: Responding to the Military Revolution (U.S. Military Academy Senior Conference) National Missile Defense: The Value of Time-Based Competition (Debate) (Sponsored by the House National Security Committee Bipartisan Missile Defense Caucus) The Bottom-Up Review (Debate) (Department of Defense Senior Executive Education Program) A U.S. Strategy for the Post-Cold War Era (U.S. Military Academy, West Point) Beyond the Bottom-Up Review (House National Security Committee (select members and staff)) The FY 1997 Defense Budget: The Calm Before the Storm? (Lockheed Martin Corporation) U.S. Strategic Alternatives for the Twenty-First Century (National War College) The Military Revolution (Ohio State University) Toward a Smaller and Different American Military (Princeton University) The Bottom-Up Review: Short-Term and Long-Term Perspectives (Bipartisan Lecture Series, United States Senate (members and staff)) The FY 1997 Defense Budget and Program: Thinking Smarter About Defense (Bipartisan Lecture Series, United States Senate (members and staff)) Defense Planning in an Era of Uncertainty (House National Security Committee (select members and staff)) The Defense Budget and the 1996 Elections (Johns Hopkins Foreign Policy Institute) The Military Revolution (The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University) The U.S. Defense Program: New Thinking Needed (Financial Executives Institute) The Emerging Military Revolution (MIT, Lincoln Laboratory)
A Net Assessment of Information Warfare (Office of the Secretary of Defense, Office of Information Warfare) Planning Strategic Change in a Democracy: The Bottom-Up Review (George C. Marshall Center) The Clinton Defense Program: A Strategic and Budgetary Perspective (McDonnell Douglas Corporation) Defense Innovation (Secretary of Defense Summer Study (OSD/Policy)) The Emerging Military Revolution (U.S. Commander-in-Chief, Pacific Fleet (CINCPACFLT) and Staff) The Roles and Missions Debate (The Brookings Institution) Strategic Planning Under Conditions of Geopolitical and Military-Technical Uncertainty (US Navy, Naval Operations Readiness, Resources, and Requirements Board) The FY 1996 Defense Budget and the Clinton Defense Program (Army Staff Management College) The Coming Military Revolution: Implications for Defense Priorities (National Academy of Sciences) Strategic Challenges: National Defense for a New Era (Harvard University) The Bottom-Up Review and the Defense Budget (National Strategy Forum) Planning for Tomorrow’s Military (Naval War College). The Clinton Defense Program: New Thinking or Old Bromides? (Smith Richardson Foundation Forum) The Clinton Defense Program: Current Status and Future Prospects (Marine Corps General Officer Orientation Program) The Defense Budget, the New Congress, and the Future (The Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies) The Clinton Defense Program (Army Management Staff College)
The Military Revolution and Operations Other than War (American Defense Preparedness Association) U.S. Planning for the Post-Cold War Era: New Thinking or Old Bromides? (George Washington University) The Bottom-Up Review and the Future National Security Environment. (New York Bar Association) Tough Choices: Fiscal Reality, Hardware and Forces—What Lies Ahead? (CNA Conference) The Military Revolution: Implications for Defense Budget Priorities (Allied Signal Corporation) The Emerging Strategic Environment and its Implications for the Next Generation of U.S. Navy Surface Combatants (CNO Executive Panel) The Emerging Military Revolution (Information Resources Management College, National Defense University) How Democracies Manage Strategic Change: The United States, 1989-1994 (George C. Marshall Center) Strategic Planning Under Conditions of Relatively High Uncertainty (Department of Defense "Summer Study") The Military-Technical Revolution and its Implications for Technology Transfer (Japan Federation of Economic Organizations (Keidanren)) The Bottom-Up Review and U.S. Defense Strategy and Budgets (Japan Ministry of Finance) The Coming Military Revolution: Implications for the Alliance (Japan Institute of International Affairs) The Defense Landscape (United Technologies Corporation) The Army and Society in the 21st Century: A View From Inside the Beltway (West Point Senior Conference) Congress and the Defense Budget (West Point) The Clinton Defense Program and the Ends-Means Gap (Harvard University.) When Do We Reach the Bone? The Bottom-Up Review and the Future Years Defense Plan (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) The U.S. Defense Budget and its Implications for Defense Policy (The Hudson Institute) Technological Development and the Military Revolution (University of Virginia) The Clinton Defense Program: Reconciling Ends and Means (National Defense University) The 1995 Defense Budget Forecast (Price Waterhouse) The Bottom-Up Review and the Defense Budget: How Wide the Gap? (General Accounting Office) The Influence of Technology on Strategy: The Case of the U.S.-Soviet Nuclear Competition (George Mason University) Deep Strikes on Critical Targets: A New Military Mission? (Office of the Secretary of Defense) Defense Priorities for the Post-Cold War Era (McDonnell-Douglas Corporation) The Clinton Defense Program (Congressional Symposium sponsored by the Arms Control and Foreign Policy Caucus) The Post-Cold War U.S. Defense Posture: Plans and Prospects (U.S. Army War College) The Revolution in the Nature of Conflict (Dover World Affairs Council and the University of Delaware) Getting to the Bottom of the Bottom-Up Review (Arms Control and Foreign Policy Caucus)
The Bottom-Up Review: Implications for U.S. Defense Planning and Budgeting (Financial Executives Institute) The Gulf War and Information Management (Canadian National Defense Symposium) The Aspin Bottom-Up Review and the U.S. Defense Budget (House Armed Services Committee Staff) The Aspin Budget for America's Long-Term Security (Defense Industry Forum) The Bottom-Up Review: A Preliminary Assessment (National Press Club Press Brief) U.S. National Security Policy in an Era of Revolutionary Transition (George Mason University, Institute of Public Policy) The Influence of the Information Revolution on the U.S. Defense Posture (George Mason University) The Vietnam War: A Strategic Appraisal (Claremont University) U.S. Strategy in a Period of Transition (U.S. Army War College) Security Implications of the Revolution in Military Technology (Harvard University)
The Nature of Future Conflict (U.S. Military Academy, West Point) The Military-Technical Revolution: Myth or Reality? (The Olin Institute, Harvard University). The Military-Technical Revolution and Advanced Technologies (Panel on Science and Technology, Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering, Defense Department) The Military-Technical Revolution and Conventional Deterrence (Naval Postgraduate School) The Military-Technical Revolution: A Preliminary Assessment (Defense Science Board) The Role of Technology in the Military-Technical Revolution (Los Alamos National Laboratory) The Military-Technical Revolution and the Changing Global Security Environment (The World Affairs Council, Boston Chapter) The Military-Technical Revolution: Coping with 'Streetfighter' States (The Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis)
A Counterinsurgency Strategy for Central America (Latin American Studies Association) The Vietnam War: A Military Perspective (U.S. Marine Corps Command & Staff College)
The Vietnam War and the Translation of National Policy to Military Strategy (The Defense Intelligence College) The Emerging Security Structure in Post-Cold War Europe (The Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis) The Lessons of Vietnam (George Washington University) America's Counterinsurgency in Southeast Asia (The Center for Naval Analyses)
The Army and Vietnam (James Madison University) The Wound in the Heart: America and the Vietnam War (St. Joseph's University) Vietnam: A Military Post-Mortem (U.S. Marine Corps Command and Staff College) The Lessons of Vietnam (Texas A&M University) Soviet Military Power: Prospects for Change (The Center for Naval Analyses)
The Army and Vietnam (Army Command and General Staff College) Strategic Aspects of the Vietnam War (George Mason University) The Lessons of Vietnam (National Defense University) The U.S. Army and the Vietnam War: Recovery from Defeat (Yale University)
The United States and Insurgency Warfare: A Military Perspective (Harvard University) The Art of War Applied to Vietnam (National Defense University) Vietnam: Strategic Alternatives (The Mershon Center, The Ohio State University)
A U.S. Strategy for Combating Terrorism (Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Government) Lessons of Vietnam (U.S. Army and General Staff College)
Problems of Organizational Change: The United States Army and the Vietnam War U.S. Military Academy, West Point) The Army and Vietnam (U.S. Naval War College)
The U.S. Army and Counterinsurgency Doctrine: A Case Study in Organizational Failure (American Political Science Association)
1983 The Revolution that Failed: John F. Kennedy, the United States Army, and Counterinsurgency Warfare (Seminar on the Armed Forces and Society)
Appearances on ABC News World Tonight, ABC News Nightline, the CBS Evening News, NBC Nightly News, The McLaughlin Group, Public Broadcasting System (PBS), National Public Radio, the BBC and NOVA, among others.
Member, Transformation Advisory Group, Joint Forces Command Member, Defense Science Board Task Force, Joint Experimentation, October 2002-March 2003 Member, National Defense Panel, February 1997-December 1997. Consultant, Office of the Secretary of Defense, Office of Net Assessment, August 1996-present. Consultant, Office of the Secretary of Defense for Policy, Secretary of Defense Strategic Studies Group and Secretary of Defense Corporate Fellows Program, July-September 1995-present. Consultant, Army Combined Arms Center, Command and General Staff College, on Low-Intensity Conflict: Strategic Concepts, 1988. Member, Commission on Integrated Long-Term Strategy, Regional Conflict Working Group, on A U.S. Strategy for Third World Conflict, 1988.
Executive Director Assistant to the Director, Net Assessment October
1989 — July
1993 Assistant for Special Projects May 1986 — October
1989
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